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Supreme Court Decision to Reverse Roe v. Wade to Galvanize Democrat Base Ahead of Midterms - Experts_我的网站

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A | Last week, the predominantly conservative US Supreme Court overruled the precedent established by the Roe v. Wade and decided that states may regulate the practice of abortion. The Roe v. Wade decision upheld pregnant women’s right to seek an abortion without government restrictions. A decision in the 1992 case of Planned Parenthood v. Casey largely upheld the Roe ruling.,Effect on Midterms,In November, US citizens will go to the polls in what will be the first midterm election of the Joe Biden administration as well as a referendum of sorts on the current US president's performance. The Republicans have been projected to win back the House of Representatives and the Senate as well, as the public has been increasingly frustrated by the issues such as inflation, crime, education and jobs. The recent ruling, however, could potentially give the democrats a shot in the arm by generating excitement among their voters.,"It will certainly galvanize the Democrats' base, for sure, it will help them to raise campaign funds and it may - perhaps - make some races more difficult for Republicans, especially in the suburbs among women voters," Robert Singh, a professor of politics at Birkbeck, University of London, said, adding that most voters will still be focused on other issues and he still expects the Republicans to win both houses of the Congress.,This sentiment was echoed by Ziad Munson, a sociology professor and the chair of the department of sociology and anthropology at Lehigh University in Pennsylvania, who also warned that the effect of the decision can be overstated.,"A consistent finding in political science over the last several decades is that the abortion issue, while a potent ideological symbol, seldom is a key policy issue for voters when they cast their votes," Munson explained.,Andrew Wroe, a senior lecturer in American politics at the University of Kent, agreed as well that the issue should help the Democrats, citing the effectiveness of the Republican use of cultural issues for rallying their base.,"The Democratic Party has been less successful in prosecuting the Culture Wars, but this is its great opportunity. Whether it will use it well is a different question, however," Wroe suggested.,At the same time, Christopher Kaczor, the chair of the philosophy department at Loyola Marymount University, is doubtful about the abortion issue having an impact on the US political landscape and helping Democrats to excite their voters.,"I expect that the very small minority of people for whom abortion is the key issue, on both sides, will be energized by this decision, but for most people other political and economic issues will remain more important," Kaczor stated.,New Wave of Protests?,The Supreme Court's decision has triggered a strong reaction on both sides of the issue in the United States, with hundreds of protesters, pro-life and pro-choice, gathering outside the Supreme Court last week following the decision. After the ruling, protests broke out in various US cities, showing a possibility of a nationwide backlash.,"People are angry, distraught, and ready to mobilise. It is difficult to say precisely how long the protests will persist, but it is likely to be some considerable time, given the magnitude of the policy change and the direct and indirect effects it will have on millions of people's lives," Wroe said.,Meanwhile, other experts expressed skepticism regarding the possibility of nationwide protests, including Munson, who drew attention to the fact that "the conservative majority tested for this possibility when they agreed not to stay the implementation of the Texas S.B. 8 law [also known as the Texas Heartbeat Act that bans abortion after detection of an unborn child's heartbeat] earlier this year.","Allowing that law to go into effect was the Court's political trial balloon, and it showed that widespread outrage quickly quieted down after just a few days. The outrage following the formal overturning of Roe v. Wade will last longer, but it is not likely to lead to large-scale consequential protest activity," the sociologist said.,Man Charged With Attempted Murder of LAPD Officers Amid Roe v Wade Protests26 June, 14:51 GMT,Who Judges the Justices?,Over the years, the role of courts in the US social and political life has greatly increased, with the Supreme Court becoming the final arbiter on many hot-button issues, such as same-sex marriage, gun control and abortion. This has been a prominent talking point among conservatives, who have been claiming that this practice undermines the country's constitutional principles, while liberals have been appealing to the notion of the courts standing up for human rights as well as drawing attention to the conservative movement's efforts to train and promote judges who share its principles.,"Both liberals and conservatives have always been supportive of judicial activism, they just want the judiciary to be activist in promoting the issues or outcomes that their side prefers. This despite the fact that conservatives have used 'judicial activism' as a talking point for some time," Munson pointed out.,Kaczor, for his part, drew a distinction between the original Roe decision and the Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, insisting that the latter actually corrects a case of judicial activism.,"The Dobbs decision is not accurately portrayed as a case of judicial activism, but rather as the reversal of judicial activism. It was Roe that established a constitutional right for abortion that had no basis in the text, history, or structure of the constitution. The decision of Dobbs undoes this judicial activism," he stated.,Nevertheless, the ruling by the current Supreme Court, which has three justices picked up by former President Donald Trump from a list compiled by the conservative legal organization Federalist Society, is likely to have the Democrats sour on the Supreme Court.,"Democrats are increasingly likely to start talking about illegitimate policy making by the Supreme Court. They will start to complain about judicial activism. But, as noted above, they can use these arguments to mobilize their base and to argue for urgency of electing more Democrats to the Senate, which of course must ratify presidential appointments to the Court," Wroe said, adding that the Democrats can also "begin to legitimately argue that the Senate has an in-built Republican advantage that needs to be addressed via constitutional change.",According to Singh, any Democratic nominee for the 2024 presidential race will face the pressure to commit to enlarging and reforming the Supreme Court.,"Whether that happens, though, is another matter. I doubt the Democrats will have sufficient seats in the Senate to overcome a GOP filibuster of court reform proposals. But the fact that the conservatives number six now on the Court sets up an on-going problem for Democrats, and more conflict to come," Singh concluded.。 제주도 “미확인 내용 유포 유감… 자제·삭제 당부”8월 27일 경찰·해경 참여 대책회의 후속 대책 논의경찰 “시신 자세·부검의 소견 등 범죄 피해 가능성 낮아”장미란(37)씨 실종사건 등과 관련해 확인되지 않은 소문과 의혹이 온라인상에서 급속히 퍼지면서 불안감을 키우고 있다. 26일 스레드 등 사회관계망서비스(SNS) 등을 보면 장씨 실종사건 등과 관련한 추측성 글들이 다수 게시됐다.

26일 경찰의 실종사건 허위종결로 실종 104일 만에 장미란 씨의 시신이 발견된 제주시 한림읍 현장에 폴리스라인이 쳐져 있다. 뉴스1

장씨로 추정되는 시신이 장씨가 장기 투숙하던 숙소에서 불과 걸어서 10분 거리의 야자수농장에서 발견되자 여러 의문점과 맞물려 범죄 연루설이 퍼지고 있는 것이다. 급기야 이 실종사건을 허위 종결한 부모(34) 경장이 살해한 사건으로 와전시키는가 하면 중국인 범행이라 주장하며 불안감을 조장하고 있다. 실제 스레드 등을 보면 ‘타살이다’, ‘중국인들이랑 경찰 내부에 문제가 있는 듯’ 등의 게시글이나 댓글이 이어지고 있다. 여기에 부 경장이 실종 신고를 허위 종결한 장씨와 60대 남성을 포함해 지난 22일부터 사흘 새 제주에서 실종자 4명이 숨진 채 발견됐다. 이 같은 사실까지 겹치면서 ‘제주도는 시신도냐’, ‘제주 여행 가기 무섭다’, ‘제주도 불매 운동합니다’ 등 제주에 부정적 이미지를 심을 수 있는 게시글이나 댓글도 계속 올라오고 있다. 추측성 글로 인해 제주 관광업계는 행여나 제주 관광에 미칠 여파에 촉각을 곤두세우고 있다. 제주 한 관광업계 관계자는 “최근 경찰을 향한 비판 여론이 제주 관광에 영향을 미치지 않을까 하는 우려가 있다”며 “다행히 현재로선 뚜렷하게 관광객 수가 줄거나 하는 조짐은 보이지 않고 있다”고 말했다. 제주도는 확인되지 않은 내용이 퍼지고 있다며 자제를 당부했다. 제주도는 입장문을 내고 “이번 유감스러운 경찰의 실종자 대응사건과 관련해 일부 언론과 SNS 등에 확인되지 않은 사실과 과대 해석한 내용이 유포되고 있어 심한 유감을 표명한다”고 밝혔다. 이어 “도민과 관광객의 안전을 위해 최대한 노력하고 있으며 더욱 안전한 제주가 되도록 최선을 다하겠다”고 강조했다. 도는 또 제주 안전에 대한 불안감을 조장하는 내용의 유포와 유통을 자제하고 잘못된 내용은 삭제해달라고 당부했다. 도는 27일 오전 제주도청 삼다홀에서 ‘안전한 제주 대책 마련을 위한 유관기관 회의’를 열어 후속 대책을 논의한다. 회의에는 위성곤 제주지사를 비롯해 도 안전건강실과 관광교류국, 소방안전본부, 자치경찰단, 자치경찰위원회 관계자와 제주경찰청·제주해양경찰청, 의용소방대·자율방재단 등이 참석한다. 참석자들은 실종·위기사건 발생 때 기관별 대응체계와 협조 사항을 점검하고 도민과 관광객의 안전을 확보하기 위한 예방·대응 방안을 논의할 예정이다. 경찰은 26일 “발견 당시 시신 자세와 위치, 부검의 구두 소견 등으로 미뤄보아 범죄 피해 가능성은 낮게 보고 있다”고 말했다. 경찰은 “부검의가 목을 매 숨진 것으로 추정된다는 구두 소견을 냈다”며 “또 현장감식 결과 야자수나무 상단에 삐져나 온 줄기에서 장씨가 집에서 갖고 나간 끈이 발견됐다”고 했다. 다만, 경찰은 휴대전화 포렌식 등을 벌이는 등 모든 가능성을 열어두고 수사하고 있다고 덧붙였다.。